Deglobalisation, digitalisation, decarbonisation, and demographic change have already left their mark on the global economy. In the future the multiple transformations that the international patterns of specialisation undergo are likely to accelerate as the four megatrends mature and unfold their true disruptive potential.
Whereas deglobalisation operates through the pandemic as well as through the global power competition – currently through the Russian invasion in Ukraine – triggering decoupling as well as supply chain reorganisation, digitalisation is likely to result in new economies of scale in investment capital but also in a further divergence of capital flows into the direction of the global North. The politically initiated decarbonisation clearly intents to steer capital flows into green investment projects while incentivizing technological innovations. Finally, the demographic change affects the..
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