Wednesday, December 11, 2019

YouGov Final 2019 general election MRP model: small Conservative majority likely

YouGov’s latest and final general election MRP model shows the Conservative Party headed for an overall majority. Predicted vote shares in our final poll have the Conservatives on 43%, Labour on 34%, the Liberal Democrats on 12% and the Brexit Party on 3%.
These vote shares translate into 339 seats for the Conservatives, 231 for Labour, 41 for the SNP and 15 for the Liberal Democrats - giving the Conservatives an overall majority of 28.
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