In his best-selling History of the Arab Peoples, published two
years before his death in 1993, the Anglo-Lebanese scholar Albert
Hourani remarked on the surprising levels of political stability
prevailing in the Arab world at that time. Despite the rapid growth of
its cities, and many disparities of wealth between the governing elites
and newly urbanized masses who were calling for social justice, calm
seemed to rule, at least on the surface. Since the military coups of the
1950s and 1960s in Egypt, Syria, Iraq, and elsewhere there had been
remarkably little change in the general nature of most Arab regimes or
the direction of their policies. Saudi Arabia, the Gulf states, Jordan,
Tunisia, and Morocco had seen no dynastic changes for more than two
generations; in Libya and Syria the regimes that came to power around
1970 were still in place. In 2000 in Syria, nearly a decade after
Hourani’s book was published, leadership passed smoothly from father to
son, while in Egypt and Libya the issue of dynastic succession was being
widely discussed..
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