''However, I believe there may be another
reason, more entrenched, that will prevent this: there is a slow but
epochal shift in the balance of global powers.
The emergence of China on the
international stage, along with the US’ steady withdrawal from global
leadership, has led to a tri-polar system of global powers shared
between the US, Europe and China. But why would such shift lead to
greater inwardness in the US or some European powers like the UK?
One possible explanation is that tri-polar
is not equivalent to truly multilateral: bargains still need to be
struck. But now they are more difficult, as the rules under which
countries interact can no longer be agreed between just the US and
Europe; there needs to be Chinese consent as well. The west won’t always
come out on top. Voters and workers will notice..''
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